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What set of institutions can support the activity of a central bank? Designing a central bank requires specifying its objective function, including the bank's mandate at different horizons and the choice of banker(s), specifying the resource constraint that limits the resources that the central...
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A parsimonious model of shifting policy regimes can simultaneously capture expected and actual US inflation during 1969-2005. Our model features a forward-looking New Keynesian Phillips curve and purposeful policymakers that can or cannot commit. Private sector learning about policymaker type...
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theories whose inputs are budget-feasible sequences of government issued bonds and money with complete theories whose inputs …
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incomplete aspect of that investigation, however, was the failure to allow explicitly for the government budget constraint. This ….S. government securities market. The explicit imposition of the government budget constraint makes a major difference for the … basis of familiar economic theory, the effect of imposing the government budget constraint is to make the real …
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Single-equation estimates of fiscal reaction functions, which relate primary surpluses to past debt-GDP ratios and control variables, are subject to potentially serious simultaneity bias that can produce misleading inferences about fiscal behavior. Biases arise from failure to model the general...
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