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This paper applies a state-space approach to estimate the implicit inflation target of the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) since the adoption of the Inflation Targeting (IT) framework. The paper's findings are two. First, although the official inflation target range is 3.6 percent, in...
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a similar trajectory over time, seem to have a powerful predictive information for the near-term GDP growth (up to four … relatively high predictive power regarding GDP growth, a further deterioration may imply that economic activity is likely to slow …
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