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Risky Oil : It's All in the Tails

Baumeister, Christiane; Huber, Florian; Marcellino, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024

The substantial fluctuations in oil prices in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian invasion of Ukraine have highlighted the importance of tail events in the global market for crude oil which call for careful risk assessment. In this paper we focus on forecasting tail risks in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544801