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Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models
Abbate, Angela; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011571313
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Fiscal forecasting : the track record of the IMF, OECD and EC
Artis, Michael J. - 1999
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013422834
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Risky Oil : It's All in the Tails
Baumeister, Christiane; Huber, Florian; Marcellino, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
The substantial fluctuations in oil prices in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian invasion of Ukraine have highlighted the importance of tail events in the global market for crude oil which call for careful risk assessment. In this paper we focus on forecasting tail risks in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544801
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Structural analysis with Multivariate Autoregressive Index models
Carriero, Andrea; Kapetanios, George; Marcellino, … - In: Journal of econometrics 192 (2016) 2, pp. 332-348
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704654
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Monetary, fiscal and oil shocks : evidence based on mixed frequency structural FAVARs
Marcellino, Massimiliano; Sivec, Vasja - In: Journal of econometrics 193 (2016) 2, pp. 335-348
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704953
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Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors : an application to German GDP
Kuzin, Vladimir; Marcellino, Massimiliano; Schumacher, … - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003830461
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MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR : nowcasting GDP in the euro area
Kuzin, Vladimir; Marcellino, Massimiliano; Schumacher, … - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003887161
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Empirical simultaneous confidence regions for path-forecasts
Jordà, Òscar; Knüppel, Malte; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003976664
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Macroeconomic forecasting during the great recession : the return of non-linearity?
Ferrara, Laurent; Marcellino, Massimiliano; Mogliani, Matteo - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009715172
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Real-time nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility
Carriero, Andrea; Clark, Todd E.; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009715178