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We examine the dynamic interaction of the population age structure, economic dependency, and fertility, paying … particular attention to the role of intergenerational transfers. In the short run, a reduction in fertility produces a … probabilistic fashion. We show that most highly developed countries have fertility below the rate that maximizes steady state …
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This paper develops a unified model of growth, population, and technological progress that is consistent with long-term historical evidence. The economy endogenously evolves through three phases. In the Malthusian regime, population growth is positively related to the level of income per capita....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472002
This paper examines a novel mechanism linking fertility and growth. Household fertility is determined by relative wages … of women and men. Increasing women's wages reduces fertility by raising the cost of children relatively more than … household income. Lower fertility raises the level of capital per worker which in turn, since capital is more complementary to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474393
This paper examines the impact of major demographic changes on the housing market in the United States. The entry of the Baby Boom generation into its house-buying years is found to be the major cause of the increase in real housing prices in the l97Os. Since the Baby Bust generation is now...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476263
We provide evidence that lower fertility can simultaneously increase income per capita and lower carbon emissions …, eliminating a trade-off central to most policies aimed at slowing global climate change. We estimate the effect of lower fertility … on carbon emissions accounting for the fact that changes in fertility patterns affect carbon emissions through three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455795
This research explores the biocultural origins of human capital formation. It presents the first evidence that moderate fecundity and thus predisposition towards investment in child quality was conducive for long-run reproductive success within the human species. Using an extensive genealogical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458194