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employment is the efficient unemployment rate, u*. We define u* as the unemployment rate that minimizes the nonproductive use of …). Accordingly, the efficient unemployment rate is the geometric average of the unemployment and vacancy rates: u* = √uv. We compute …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334429
Licensed workers could be shielded from unemployment during recession since occupational licensing laws are asymmetric …-in-differences event study research design that exploits cross-state variation in licensing laws to compare the unemployment rate between …, we find that licensing shields workers from a recession-induced increase in the unemployment rate of 0.82 p.p. during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544764
We document the sources behind the costs of job loss over the business cycle using administrative data from Germany. Losses in annual earnings after displacement are large, persistent, and highly cyclical, nearly doubling in size during downturns. A large part of the long-term earnings losses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334381
We propose that the natural rate of unemployment has an active role in the business cycle, in contrast to the … Phillips-curve framework of low---often extremely low---response of inflation to unemployment could be the result of fairly … most Phillips-curve studies, that conclude that inflation has little relation to unemployment. We suggest that the flat …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436979
variables while it is uncorrelated with life satisfaction. The unemployment rate and the CPI reduce both. We analyze data for 29 … European countries to predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months ahead using individuals' fears of unemployment in the … presence of country and year fixed effects and lagged unemployment. We also use firms' expectations of future employment, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447326
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010363254
implied by new unemployment claims: we estimate 20 million lost jobs by April 6th, far more than jobs lost over the entire … rise in the unemployment rate over the corresponding period to be surprisingly small, only about 2 percentage points. Third …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481974
This chapter assesses how models with search frictions have shaped our understanding of aggregate labor market outcomes in two contexts: business cycle fluctuations and long-run (trend) changes. We first consolidate data on aggregate labor market outcomes for a large set of OECD countries. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462750
unemployment. We show that heterogeneity, reflecting differences in match quality and worker assets, reduces the extent of … fluctuations in separations and unemployment. We find that the model faces a trade-off--it cannot produce both realistic dispersion … in wage growth across workers and realistic cyclical fluctuations in unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463483
Unemployment inflows fell from 4 percent of employment per month in the early 1980s to 2 percent or less by the mid … parameter in search and matching models of unemployment. According to these models, a lower intensity of idiosyncratic shocks … produces less job destruction, fewer workers flowing through the unemployment pool and less frictional unemployment. To …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464347