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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002137088
We put forward a Merton-type multi-factor portfolio model for assessing banks’ contributions to systemic risk. This model accounts for the major drivers of banks’ systemic relevance: size, default risk and correlation of banks’ assets as a proxy for interconnectedness. We measure systemic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011220
The paper develops an oil price forecasting technique which is based on the present value model of rational commodity pricing. The approach suggests shifting the forecasting problem to the marginal convenience yield which can be derived from the cost-of-carry relationship. In a recursive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003314736
The situation of a limited availability of historical data is frequently encountered in portfolio risk estimation, especially in credit risk estimation. This makes it, for example, difficult to find temporal structures with statistical significance in the data on the single asset level. By...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003477096
The turbulences in the international financial markets during the summer and autumn of 1998 put the price formation and liquidity provision mechanism in many markets under severe strain. As part of the large-scale portfolio rebalancing that took place, investors shifted a large part of their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011418740
The present paper uses survey data on expected consumer price developments to analyse the role of inflation expectations in the inflation process. The survey measures of price expectations are derived from the European Commission's Consumer Survey and from the surveys of professional experts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419361
analyse this topic by means of a P-star model. Based on the quantity theory of money, this approach explains inflation via a …. Moreover, parameter restrictions for the long-run relationships implied by the monetary theory are tested. Country specific P … Preisniveau und dem realen Output testet. Weiterhin werden die Parameterrestriktionen, die sich durch die monet¨are Theorie …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419407
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002825845
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002703740
We analyze foreigners’ and domestic institutional investors’ positions in U.S. equities. Controlling for many factors, we uncover a common preference for large firms and firms that are diversified internationally. The domestic preference for internationally diversified firms implies that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002682142