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Using monthly data for the period 19532003, we apply a real-time modeling approach to investigate the implications of U.S. political stock market anomalies for forecasting excess stock returns. Our empirical findings show that political variables, selected on the basis of widely used model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003359007
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002235268
The paper analyses the recent supply side developments in France, Germany, and Italy by employing a non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003304964
We report results on the ex ante predictability of monthly excess stock returns in Germany using real-time and revised …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003304970
used a new dataset on monthly real-time macroeconomic variables for Germany. The dataset covers the period 1994-2005. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003315444
four major European economies (France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom). As opposed to the benchmark rational …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003115702