Showing 1 - 10 of 49
We examine optimal and other monetary policies in a linear-quadratic setup with a relatively general form of model uncertainty, so-called Markov jump-linear-quadratic systems extended to include forward-looking variables. The form of model uncertainty our framework encompasses includes: simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003126167
We analyse the interaction between private agents' uncertainty about inflation target and the central bank's data uncertainty. In our model, private agents update their perceived inflation target and the central bank estimates unobservable economic shocks as well as the perceived inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003529538
The situation of a limited availability of historical data is frequently encountered in portfolio risk estimation …, especially in credit risk estimation. This makes it, for example, difficult to find temporal structures with statistical … into account. The modelling framework is based on multivariate elliptical processes which model portfolio risk via sub …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003477096
In this paper we investigate the interaction between a credit portfolio and another risk type, which can be thought of … as market risk. Combining Merton-like factor models for credit risk with linear factor models for market risk, we … analytically calculate their interrisk correlation and show how inter-risk correlation bounds can be derived. Moreover, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003721586
Conventional wisdom says that commitment eliminates the inflationary bias of monetary policy. However, this paper shows that the inflation bias can persist even when the central bank commits. A simple model is presented in which the central bank precommits by setting the policy instrument, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419400
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001906365
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002433833
state. A risk sensitivity operator induces robustness to perturbations of the approximating model conditioned on the hidden … state. Another risk sensitivity operator induces robustness to the prior distribution over the hidden state. We use these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003114291
What is the role of contracting schemes for the welfare costs of nominal rigidities over the business cycle? We examine 4 different modeling schemes of nominal rigidities that all have the same average duration of contracts. We find that Calvo (1983) wage and price contracts may deliver welfare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003029728
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002235437