Showing 1 - 10 of 19
seasonal unit roots prior to estimation, model selection and forecasting. Various Box-Jenkins Autoregressive Integrated Moving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001644080
Least squares (LS) and maximum likelihood (ML) estimation are considered for unit root processes with GARCH (1, 1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001644065
This paper provides a review of some recent theoretical results for time series models with GARCH errors, and is directed towards practitioners. Starting with the simple ARCH model and proceeding to the GARCH model, some results for stationary and nonstationary ARMA-GARCH are summarized. Various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001644062
In this paper we examine the asymptotic properties of the estimator of the long-run coefficient (LRC) in a dynamic regression model with integrated regressors and serially correlated errors. We show that the OLS estimators of the regression coefficients are inconsistent but the OLS-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001644304
Literature shows that the regression of independent and (nearly) nonstationary time series could result in spurious outcomes. In this paper, we conjecture that under some situations, the regression of two independent and nearly non-stationary series does not have any spurious problem at all. To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626690
investment strategies and a variety of hold-out periods and backtests. We commence by using four two-year estimation periods and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543960
In this paper, we document that realized variation measures constructed from high-frequency returns reveal a large degree of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011553303
This paper features an analysis of the relationship between the S&P 500 Index and the VIX using daily data obtained from the CBOE website and SIRCA (The Securities Industry Research Centre of the Asia Pacific). We explore the relationship between the S&P 500 daily return series and a similar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555743
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011553413
This paper investigates some structural properties of a family of GARCH processes. A simple sufficient condition for the existence of the αδ-order stationary solution of the processes is derived, where α ∈ (0, 1] and δ 0. The solution is strictly stationary and ergodic, and the causal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001644082