Showing 1 - 10 of 31
In Bayesian theory, the data together with the prior produce a posterior. We show that it is also possible to follow … (which is not observable). We then apply the theory to equilibrium climate sensitivity as reported by the Intergovernmental …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014451903
We develop a 2×2×2 model with the following features: (1) one sector is perfectly competitive while the other is oligopolistic; (2) one country has unemployment while the other attains full employment; (3) oligopolists move internationally; and (4) the ownership of each oligopolist is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011433989
We develop a new methodology to analyse spillovers between the real and financial sides of the economy that employs a mixed-frequency modelling approach. This enables high-frequency financial and low-frequency macroeconomic data series to be employed directly, avoiding the data aggregation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011609954
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465672
stochastic integral of a Kiefer process is established. The results obtained in this paper provide an asymptotic theory for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001590590
This paper provides a review of some recent theoretical results for time series models with GARCH errors, and is directed towards practitioners. Starting with the simple ARCH model and proceeding to the GARCH model, some results for stationary and nonstationary ARMA-GARCH are summarized. Various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001644062
Least squares (LS) and maximum likelihood (ML) estimation are considered for unit root processes with GARCH (1, 1) errors. The asymptotic distributions of LS and ML estimators are derived under the condition alpha + beta 1. The former has the usual unit root distribution and the latter is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001644065
This paper examines stationary and nonstationary time series by formally testing for the presence of unit roots and seasonal unit roots prior to estimation, model selection and forecasting. Various Box-Jenkins Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models are estimated over the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001644080
This paper investigates some structural properties of a family of GARCH processes. A simple sufficient condition for the existence of the αδ-order stationary solution of the processes is derived, where α ∈ (0, 1] and δ 0. The solution is strictly stationary and ergodic, and the causal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001644082
This paper investigates the asymptotic theory for a vector ARMA-GARCH model. The conditions for the strict stationarity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001644276