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In Bayesian theory, the data together with the prior produce a posterior. We show that it is also possible to follow … (which is not observable). We then apply the theory to equilibrium climate sensitivity as reported by the Intergovernmental …
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This paper examines stationary and nonstationary time series by formally testing for the presence of unit roots and seasonal unit roots prior to estimation, model selection and forecasting. Various Box-Jenkins Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models are estimated over the period...
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