Prior to the recent Asian currency and economic crises, tourism from Asia had rapidly become Australia's major tourism export industry. Tourists from Singapore, which is Australia's fifth major market, represented 6% of international tourist arrivals to Australia in 1996. The average annual...

This paper provides a review of some recent theoretical results for time series models with GARCH errors, and is directed towards practitioners. Starting with the simple ARCH model and proceeding to the GARCH model, some results for stationary and nonstationary ARMA-GARCH are summarized. Various...

Least squares (LS) and maximum likelihood (ML) estimation are considered for unit root processes with GARCH (1, 1) errors. The asymptotic distributions of LS and ML estimators are derived under the condition alpha + beta 1. The former has the usual unit root distribution and the latter is a...

Although econometricians have been using Bollerslev’s (1986) GARCH (r, s) model for over a decade, the higher-order moment structure of the model remains unresolved. The sufficient condition for the existence of the higherorder moments of the GARCH (r, s) model was given by Ling (1999a). This...

This paper investigates some structural properties of a family of GARCH processes. A simple sufficient condition for the existence of the αδ-order stationary solution of the processes is derived, where α ∈ (0, 1] and δ 0. The solution is strictly stationary and ergodic, and the causal...

Empirical factor demand analysis typically involves making a choice from among several competing non-nested functional forms. Each of the commonly used factor demand systems, such as Translog, Generalized Leontief, Quadratic, and Generalized McFadden, can provide a valid and useful empirical...

This paper investigates the asymptotic theory for a vector ARMA-GARCH model. The conditions for the strict stationarity, ergodicity, and the higherorder moments of the model are established. Consistency of the quasi- maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) is proved under only the second-order...

This paper considers adaptive estimation in nonstationary autoregressive moving average models with the noise sequence satisfying a generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic process. The locally asymptotic quadratic form of the log-likelihood ratio for the model is obtained. It is...

The purpose of this paper is to use Bahadur’s asymptotic relative efficiency measure to compare the performance of various tests of autoregressive (AR) versus moving average (MA) error processes in regression models. Tests to be examined include non-nested procedures of the models against each...

In this paper we examine the asymptotic properties of the estimator of the long-run coefficient (LRC) in a dynamic regression model with integrated regressors and serially correlated errors. We show that the OLS estimators of the regression coefficients are inconsistent but the OLS-based...