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We present the estimated large-scale three-region DSGE model GEAR picturing Germany, the Euro Area and the Rest of the … present-value multipliers for distinct fiscal instruments, and to assess how discretionary fiscal policy in Germany and the …-on-quarter GDP growth substantially, both in Germany and in the rest of the Euro Area. The main drivers of GDP growth in Europe …
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This paper exploits a recent and granular data set for 1,500 German LSIs to conduct a residential mortgage stress testing exercise. To account for model uncertainty when modeling PD dynamics we use a benchmark-constrained Bayesian model averaging approach that combines standard BMA with a...
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In this paper we consider regression models for count data allowing for overdispersion in a Bayesian framework. Besides the inclusion of covariates, spatial effects are incorporated and modelled using a proper Gaussian conditional autoregressive prior based on Pettitt et al. (2002). Apart from...
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). In an application the presented models are used to analyse the number of invasive meningococcal disease cases in Germany …
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