Showing 1 - 10 of 36
We apply utility indifference pricing to solve a contingent claim problem, valuing a connected pair of gas fields where the underlying process is not standard Geometric Brownian motion and the assumption of complete markets is not fulfilled. First, empirical data are often characterized by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465169
We study a two-stage R&D project with an abandonment option. Two types of uncertainty influence the decision to start R …&D. Demand uncertainty is modelled as a lottery between a proportional increase and decrease in demand. Technical uncertainty is … modelled as a lottery between a decrease and increase in the cost to continue R&D. We relate differences in uncertainty to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378299
their risk aversion parameter invest less in risky assets than wealthy investors with identical risk aversion uncertainty. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382430
We investigate the major choice of college graduates where we make choice dependent on expected initial wages and expected wage growth per major. We build a model that allows us to estimate these factors semiparametrically and that corrects for selection bias. We estimate the model on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012228687
We design and implement a novel experimental test of subjective expected utility theory and its generalizations. Our experiments are implemented in the laboratory with a student population, and pushed out through a large-scale panel to a general sample of the US population. We find that a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012126236
landscape. Uncertainty and perceptions are influential drivers when it comes to migration decisions, and yet, the literature … simultaneously associated with uncertainty perceptions. We leverage the British referendum of 2016 to leave the European Union as a … unique natural experiment to demonstrate how collective uncertainty, induced by national government policy, affects the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012261129
This paper demonstrates that well-established biases in decision making under uncertainty can generate poverty traps. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015062969
In criminal cases the task of the judge is to transform the uncertainty about the facts into the certainty of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377092
Many empirical studies on intertemporal choice report preference reversals in the sensethat a preference between a small reward to be received soon and a larger reward to bereceived later reverses as both rewards are equally delayed. Such preference reversals arecommonly interpreted as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379439
The origin of prospect theory is the desire to test the intuitive statistician in the real world. The development of this theory by the cognitive psychologists Kahneman and Tversky can be traced to the former's work in cognitive psychophysics, in which deviations from average behavior are termed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346453