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~isPartOf:"Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute"
~isPartOf:"Discussion paper series / LSE Financial Markets Group"
~language:"eng"
~person:"Gil-Alaña, Luis A."
~person:"Heckman, James J."
~person:"Klaassen, Franc"
~person:"Koopman, Siem Jan"
~person:"Wagenvoort, Rien"
~subject:"EU-Staaten"
~subject:"Kreditrisiko"
~subject:"Maximum-Likelihood-Schätzung"
~subject:"Schätzung"
~subject:"Simulation"
~subject:"Statistische Verteilung"
~subject:"USA"
~subject:"United States"
~type:"book"
~type_genre:"Collection of articles written by one author"
~type_genre:"Handbuch"
~type_genre:"Non-commercial literature"
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Gil-Alaña, Luis A.
Heckman, James J.
Klaassen, Franc
Koopman, Siem Jan
Wagenvoort, Rien
Lucas, André
38
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21
Unobserved components with stochastic volatility in U.S. inflation : estimation and signal extraction
Li, Mengheng
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
-
2018
We consider unobserved components time series models where the components are stochastically evolving over time and are subject to stochastic volatility. It enables the disentanglement of dynamic structures in both the mean and the variance of the observed time series. We develop a simulated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011809984
Saved in:
22
Time series models with a common stochastic variance for analysing economic time series
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Bos, Charles S.
-
2002
The linear Gaussian state space model for which the common variance istreated as a stochastic time-varying variable is considered for themodelling of economic time series. The focus of this paper is on thesimultaneous estimation of parameters related to the stochasticprocesses of the mean part...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327834
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23
Has the Euro increased trade?
Bun, Maurice J. G.
;
Klaassen, Franc
-
2002
A major economic reason for the introduction of the euro was its supposedly positive effect on intra-EMU trade. Existing studies examine this suspicion indirectly using non-EMU data and report ambiguous results. We estimate the euro-effect directly from data that include EMU observations. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327839
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24
In-sample bounds for time-varying parameters of observation driven models
Blasques, Francisco
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Łasak, Katarzyna
; …
-
2015
We study the performance of two analytical methods and one simulation method for computing in-sample confidence bounds for time-varying parameters. These in-sample bounds are designed to reflect parameter uncertainty in the associated filter. They are applicable to the complete class of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484891
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25
Spillover dynamics for systemic risk measurement using spatial financial time series models
Blasques, Francisco
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
; …
-
2014
We introduce a new model for time-varying spatial dependence. The model extends the well-known static spatial lag model. All parameters can be estimated conveniently by maximum likelihood. We establish the theoretical properties of the model and show that the maximum likelihood estimator for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010391531
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26
Macro, industry and frailty effects in defaults : the 2008 credit crisis in perspective
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
;
Schwaab, Bernd
-
2010
We determine the magnitude and nature of systematic default risk using 1971{2009) default data from Moody's. We disentangle systematic risk factors due to business cycle effects, common default dynamics (frailty), and industry-specific dynamics (including contagion). To quantify the contribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379607
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27
A dynamic multivariate heavy-tailed model for time-varying volatilities and correlations
Creal, Drew
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
-
2010
We propose a new class of observation-driven time-varying parameter models for dynamic volatilities and correlations to handle time series from heavy-tailed distributions. The model adopts generalized autoregressive score dynamics to obtain a time-varying covariance matrix of the multivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380135
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28
Identifying all distinct sample p-p plots, with an application to the exact finite sample distribution of the L1-FCvM test statistic
Hinloopen, Jeroen
;
Wagenvoort, Rien
-
2010
P-p plots contain all the information that is needed for scale-invariant comparisons. Indeed, Empirical Distribution Function (EDF) tests translate sample p-p plots into a single number. In this paper we characterize the set of all distinct p-p plots for two balanced sample of size n absent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381382
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29
Systemic risk diagnostics
Schwaab, Bernd
;
Lucas, André
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
-
2010
, and the rest of the
world
. Controlling for global,region-specific, and industry effects, we construct coincident measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382067
Saved in:
30
Identifying the weights in exchange market pressure
Klaassen, Franc
-
2011
Exchange market pressure (EMP) measures the pressure on a currencyto depreciate. It adds to the actual depreciation a weightedcombination of policy instruments used to ward off depreciation,such as interest rates and foreign exchange interventions, where theweights are their effectiveness. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011383023
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