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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011618479
area sovereign debt crises. We find that macro and default-specific world factors are a primary source of default …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484886
We propose to pool alternative systemic risk rankings for financial institutions using the method of principal components. The resulting overall ranking is less affected by estimation uncertainty and model risk. We apply our methodology to disentangle the common signal and the idiosyncratic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532581
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002520119
Forecasting the world economy is a difficult task given the complex interrelationships within and across countries …. This paper proposes a number of approaches to forecast short-term changes in selected world economic variables and aims …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867019
This paper analyses the long-memory properties of high frequency financial time series. It focuses on temporal aggregation and the influence that this might have on the degree of dependence of the series. Fractional integration or I(d) models are estimated with a variety of specifications for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003974563
to the rest of the world tends to fluctuate over time but remains large overall. Second, although the size of the … more persistent. Actually, the increasing economic integration at the world level is likely to have fostered second …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832378
components for a large data set comprising the U.S., the EU-27 area, and the respective rest of the world. Credit risk conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009006653
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009784942
In this paper we document that realized variation measures constructed from high-frequency returns reveal a large degree of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010366935