Showing 1 - 10 of 109
area sovereign debt crises. We find that macro and default-specific world factors are a primary source of default …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484886
In recent years there has been a growing interest in the impact of inequality on economic growth. Both theoretical and empirical approaches have produced ambiguous results on sign and size of this relationship. Although there is a considerable part of the literature that considers inequality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349190
sovereign debt crisis. We find that macro and default-specific world factors are a primary source of default clustering across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011618479
We develop a new targeted maximum likelihood estimation method that provides improved forecasting for misspecified linear autoregressive models. The method weighs data points in the observed sample and is useful in the presence of data generating processes featuring structural breaks, complex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416341
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001670914
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002520119
The causes of the 2008 collapse and subsequent surge in global capital flows remain an open and highly controversial issue. Employing a factor model coupled with a dataset of high-frequency portfolio capital flows to 50 economies, the paper finds that common shocks - key crisis events as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009238006
components for a large data set comprising the U.S., the EU-27 area, and the respective rest of the world. Credit risk conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009006653
Using the 2007-2009 financial crisis as a laboratory, we analyze the transmission of crises to country-industry equity portfolios in 55 countries. We use an asset pricing framework with global and local factors to predict crisis returns, defining unexplained increases in factor loadings as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009380410