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~isPartOf:"Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute"
~isPartOf:"Discussion paper series / UCL Economics"
~isPartOf:"HWWA discussion paper"
~isPartOf:"Working papers / Federal Reserve Bank of Boston"
~language:"eng"
~person:"Florax, Raymond J. G. M."
~person:"Gil-Alaña, Luis A."
~person:"Heckman, James J."
~person:"Koopman, Siem Jan"
~person:"Lucas, André"
~person:"Pooter, Michiel de"
~subject:"Kreditrisiko"
~subject:"Maximum-Likelihood-Schätzung"
~subject:"Meta-Analyse"
~subject:"Prognoseverfahren"
~subject:"Schätzung"
~subject:"USA"
~subject:"Volatilität"
~type:"book"
~type_genre:"Collection of articles written by one author"
~type_genre:"Handbuch"
~type_genre:"Non-commercial literature"
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Florax, Raymond J. G. M.
Gil-Alaña, Luis A.
Heckman, James J.
Koopman, Siem Jan
Lucas, André
Pooter, Michiel de
Dijk, Herman K. van
27
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21
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Ooms, Marius
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Paap, Richard
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ECONIS (ZBW)
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51
Macro, industry and frailty effects in defaults : the 2008 credit crisis in perspective
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
;
Schwaab, Bernd
-
2010
We determine the magnitude and nature of systematic default risk using 1971{2009) default data from Moody's. We disentangle systematic risk factors due to business cycle effects, common default dynamics (frailty), and industry-specific dynamics (including contagion). To quantify the contribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379607
Saved in:
52
A dynamic multivariate heavy-tailed model for time-varying volatilities and correlations
Creal, Drew
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
-
2010
We propose a new class of observation-driven time-varying parameter models for dynamic volatilities and correlations to handle time series from heavy-tailed distributions. The model adopts generalized autoregressive score dynamics to obtain a time-varying covariance matrix of the multivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380135
Saved in:
53
Systemic risk diagnostics
Schwaab, Bernd
;
Lucas, André
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
-
2010
, and the rest of the
world
. Controlling for global,region-specific, and industry effects, we construct coincident measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382067
Saved in:
54
Observation driven mixed-measurement dynamic factor models with an application to credit risk
Creal, Drew
;
Schwaab, Bernd
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, …
-
2011
This paper has been accepted for publication in the 'Review of Economics and Statistics'.We propose a dynamic factor model for mixed-measurement and mixed-frequency panel data. In this framework time series observations may come from a range of families of parametric distributions, may be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011383248
Saved in:
55
Numerically accelerated importance sampling for nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
;
Scharth, Marcel
-
2012
We introduce a new efficient importance sampler for nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models. We propose a general and efficient likelihood evaluation method for this class of models via the combination of numerical and Monte Carlo integration methods. Our methodology explores the idea that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386179
Saved in:
56
Modeling dynamic volatilities and correlations under skewness and fat tails
Zhang, Xin
;
Creal, Drew
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
-
2011
We propose a new model for dynamic volatilities and correlations of skewed and heavy-tailed data. Our model endows the Generalized Hyperbolic distribution with time-varying parameters driven by the score of the observation density function. The key novelty in our approach is the fact that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386468
Saved in:
57
Time series models with a common stochastic variance for analysing economic time series
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Bos, Charles S.
-
2002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001718624
Saved in:
58
The stochastic volatility on mean model : empirical evidence from international stock markets
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Uspensky, Eugenie Hol
-
2000
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001472890
Saved in:
59
Tail behavior of credit loss distributions for general latent factor models
Lucas, André
(
contributor
)
-
2001
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001554549
Saved in:
60
Business and default cycles for credit risk
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
-
2003
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001792714
Saved in:
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