Showing 1 - 10 of 22
, the DM here tends to experiment excessively when facing modest uncertainty and, to counteract it, may stop experimenting … prematurely when facing high uncertainty. In the latter case, the DM's stopping rule is non-monotonic in beliefs and features …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013365655
payoff and a stochastic time limit. The agent is unsure about the correct model quantifying the uncertainty and seeks to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364260
We apply utility indifference pricing to solve a contingent claim problem, valuing a connected pair of gas fields where the underlying process is not standard Geometric Brownian motion and the assumption of complete markets is not fulfilled. First, empirical data are often characterized by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465169
their risk aversion parameter invest less in risky assets than wealthy investors with identical risk aversion uncertainty. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382430
We study a two-stage R&D project with an abandonment option. Two types of uncertainty influence the decision to start R …&D. Demand uncertainty is modelled as a lottery between a proportional increase and decrease in demand. Technical uncertainty is … modelled as a lottery between a decrease and increase in the cost to continue R&D. We relate differences in uncertainty to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378299
We investigate whether violations of canonical axioms of choice under risk are mistakes or a manifestation of true preferences. First, we elicit axiom and gamble preferences and then allow subjects to revise their potentially conflicting preferences. Among the behavioral patterns that allow for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014578322
optimize decision rules that explicitly account for the uncertainty in the first step estimation using statistical decision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012594943
We investigate the major choice of college graduates where we make choice dependent on expected initial wages and expected wage growth per major. We build a model that allows us to estimate these factors semiparametrically and that corrects for selection bias. We estimate the model on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012228687
This paper demonstrates that well-established biases in decision making under uncertainty can generate poverty traps. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015062969
From the viewpoint of the independence axiom of expected utility theory, an interesting empirical dynamic choice problem involves the presence of a “global risk,” that is, a chance of losing everything whichever safe or risky option is chosen. In this experimental study, participants have to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349715