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This paper studies the macroeconomic and efficiency effects of privatizing social security. It does so by simulating …, the pure efficiency gains from privatization are also substantial. Efficiency gains refers to the welfare improvement … precise size of the efficiency gain depends on the existing tax structure, the linkage between benefits and taxes under the …
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This paper develops a tractable stochastic overlapping generations model to analyze the equilibrium equity premium and growth rate of the capital stock in the presence of a defined-benefit Social Security system. If the Social Security Trust Fund increases the share of its portfolio held in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216852
This paper examines the optimal allocation of risk in an overlapping-generations economy. It compares the allocation of risk the economy reaches naturally to the allocation that would be reached if generations behind a Rawlsian 'veil of ignorance' could share risk with one another through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248396
This paper consists of three reports on stochastic forecasting for Social Security, on infinite horizons, immigration, and structural time series models. 1) In our preferred stochastic immigration forecast, total net immigration drops from current levels down to about one million by 2020, then...
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