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In this paper we replace the Gaussian errors in the standard Gaussian, linear state space model with stochastic volatility processes. This is called a GSSF-SV model. We show that conventional MCMC algorithms for this type of model are ineffective, but that this problem can be removed by...
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The theoretical literature on pricing-to-market has identified two possible reasons why the elasticity of prices to exchange rate changes may be asymmetric across appreciations and depreciations. If firms are attempting to increase market shares in foreign markets subject to the possibility of...
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and forecasting. Building on the theory of continuous-time arbitrage-free price processes and the theory of quadratic …
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We present theory and evidence that challenges the view that forward premia contain little information regarding …
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like those which appear to be typical in Germany …
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