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Whether fiscal policy is sustainable depends on a government's future revenue and expenditure streams, both of which are highly uncertain. In commodity-rich countries, this problem is intensified by unpredictable and volatile commodity prices. We show how spending rules for oil income and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386438
volatility of aid on economic growth, controlling for the level of aid. A four-year panel analysis is conducted encompassing 155 … countries over the period 1966-2001. We find that once the volatility of aid is controlled for, aid has a positive impact on … economic growth. Correspondingly, volatility of aid flows is found to be negatively related to growth. We found no significant …
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common belief, the auction prices for gas storage are mostly affected by the volatility of current market prices rather than … with the volatility of the spot market. This is an intuitive result because storage capacity can serve as an effective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333083
. First, empirical data are often characterized by time-varying volatility and fat tails; therefore we use Gaussian GAS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465169
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We use a series of different approaches to extract information about crash risk from option prices for the Euro-Dollar exchange rate, with each step sharpening the focus on extracting more specific measures of crash risk around dates of ECB measures of Unconventional Monetary Policy. Several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940034
We calculate the social cost of carbon (SCC) under stochastic climate volatility resulting from uncertainty about … climate volatility risks substantially increase the SCC both in the business-as-usual and optimal abatement policy scenario … more frequent disasters for equal expected value. Overall we show that stochastic volatility has a major impact on the SCC. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014290496