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The effect of the great moderation on the US business cycle in a time-varying multivariate trend-cycle model
Creal, Drew; Koopman, Siem Jan; Zivot, Eric - 2008
In this paper we investigate whether the dynamic properties of the U.S. business cycle have changed in the last fifty years. For this purpose we develop a flexible business cycle indicator that is constructed from a moderate set of macroeconomic time series. The coincident economic indicator is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376640
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Multivariate volatility impulse response analysis of GFC news events
Allen, David E.; McAleer, Michael; Powell, Robert; … - 2015
analysis. A Jordan decomposition of Σt is used to obtain independent and identically distributed innovations. A general issue …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301206
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Forecasting value-at-risk using block structure multivariate stochastic volatility models
Asai, Manabu; Caporin, Massimiliano; McAleer, Michael - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767006
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Leverage and feedback effects on multifactor wishart stochastic volatility for option pricing
Asai, Manabu; McAleer, Michael - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724148
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The Effect of the Great Moderation on the U.S. Business Cycle in a Time-Varying Multivariate Trend-Cycle Model
Creal, Drew - 2008
In this paper we investigate whether the dynamic properties of the U.S. business cycle have changed in the last fifty years. For this purpose we develop a flexible business cycle indicator that is constructed from a moderate set of macroeconomic time series. The coincident economic indicator is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723648