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Indian Economic Outlook 2008-09 and 2009-10

Kumar, Rajiv - 2009

This paper provides an outlook for the Indian economy in the light of the extraordinary global financial crisis, that started in the US, but which has now transformed into the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression. The Indian economy was slowing down even before the onset of global...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807640

Low frequency and weighted likelihood solutions for mixed frequency dynamic factor models

Blasques, Francisco; Koopman, Siem Jan; Mallee, Max I. P. - 2014

The multivariate analysis of a panel of economic and financial time series with mixed frequencies is a challenging problem. The standard solution is to analyze the mix of monthly and quarterly time series jointly by means of a multivariate dynamic model with a monthly time index: artificial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010391543

Nowcasting and forecasting economic growth in the Euro area using principal components

Hindrayanto, Irma; Koopman, Siem Jan; Winter, Jasper de - 2014

short-term forecasting models. These empirical findings have been established for different macroeconomic data sets and … specification is most effective in its forecasting performance. Furthermore, the forecast performances of the different … extended empirical out-of-sample forecasting competition for quarterly growth of gross domestic product in the euro area and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395082

Bayesian forecasting of US growth using basic time varying parameter models and expectations data

Basturk, Nalan; Ceyhan, Pinar; Dijk, Herman K. van - 2014

forecasting performance of the various model specifications. The extension of a basic growth model with a constant mean to models … expectations is important for forecasting growth in specific periods, such as the the recession periods around 2000s and around …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010399680

Minsky and the subprime mortgage crisis: The financial instability hypothesis in the era of financialization

Caverzasi, Eugenio - 2014

The aim of this paper is to develop a structural explanation of the subprime mortgage crisis, grounded on the combination of two apparently incompatible financial theories: the financial instability hypothesis by Hyman P. Minsky and the theory of capital market inflation by Jan Toporowski. Our...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010513054

ECB worries/European woes: The economic consequences of parochial policy

Barbera, Robert J.; Holtham, Gerald - 2012

Financial market crises with the threat of a subsequent debt-deflation depression have occurred with increasing regularity in the United States from 1980 through the present. Almost reflexively, when confronted with such circumstances, US institutions and the policymakers that run them have...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318632

A Minskyan road to financial reform

Wray, L. Randall - 2011

In the aftermath of the global financial collapse that began in 2007, governments around the world have responded with reform. The outlines of Basel III have been announced, although some have already dismissed its reform agenda as being too little (and too late!). Like the proposed reforms in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281697

Minsky's money manager capitalism and the global financial crisis

Wray, L. Randall - 2011

The world's worst economic crisis since the 1930s is now well into its third year. All sorts of explanations have been proffered for the causes of the crisis, from lax regulation and oversight to excessive global liquidity. Unfortunately, these narratives do not take into account the systemic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281722

Minsky crisis

Wray, L. Randall - 2011

Stability is destabilizing. These three words concisely capture the insight that underlies Hyman Minsky's analysis of the economy's transformation over the entire postwar period. The basic thesis is that the dynamic forces of a capitalist economy are explosive and must be contained by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281733

Financial Keynesianism and market instability

Wray, L. Randall - 2011

In this paper I will follow Hyman Minsky in arguing that the postwar period has seen a slow transformation of the economy from a structure that could be characterized as robust to one that is fragile. While many economists and policymakers have argued that no one saw it coming, Minsky and his...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281738

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