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area sovereign debt crises. We find that macro and default-specific world factors are a primary source of default …
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all variables proposed by theory, despite a broad set of fixed effects (FE). We find that both REERs are important and … multilateral resistances. Untangling normalization helps to get a better view of what is still unexplained by theory. …
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components for a large data set comprising the U.S., the EU-27 area, and the respective rest of the world. Credit risk conditions …
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Bayesian inference in a time series model provides exact, out-of-sample predictive distributions that fully and coherently incorporate parameter uncertainty. This study compares and evaluates Bayesian predictive distributions from alternative models, using as an illustration five alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003825870