The focus of this article is using dynamic correlation models for the calculation of minimum variance hedge ratios between pairs of assets. Finding an optimal hedge requires not only knowledge of the variability of both assets, but also of the co-movement between the two assets. For this...

We present a model for hourly electricity load forecasting based on stochastically time-varying processes that are designed to account for changes in customer behaviour and in utility production efficiencies. The model is periodic: it consists of different equations and different parameters for...

To what extent can the bootstrap be applied to conditional mean models | such as regression or time series models | when the volatility of the innovations is random and possibly non-stationary? In fact, the volatility of many economic and financial time series displays persistent changes and...