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~isPartOf:"Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute"
~language:"eng"
~person:"Gil-Alaña, Luis A."
~person:"Klaassen, Franc"
~person:"Koopman, Siem Jan"
~person:"Wel, Michel van der"
~person:"Wijnbergen, Sweder van"
~subject:"EU-Staaten"
~subject:"Faktorenanalyse"
~subject:"Konjunktur"
~subject:"Kreditrisiko"
~subject:"Maximum-Likelihood-Schätzung"
~subject:"Schätzung"
~subject:"USA"
~subject:"United States"
~type:"book"
~type_genre:"Collection of articles written by one author"
~type_genre:"Handbuch"
~type_genre:"Non-commercial literature"
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Gil-Alaña, Luis A.
Klaassen, Franc
Koopman, Siem Jan
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Lucas, André
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11
A general framework for observation driven time-varying parameter models
Creal, Drew
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
-
2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003787160
Saved in:
12
Likelihood functions for state space models with diffuse initial conditions
Francke, Marc K.
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Vos, Aart F. de
-
2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003706020
Saved in:
13
Dynamic factor analysis in the presence of missing data
Jungbacker, Borus
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Wel, Michel van der
-
2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003813787
Saved in:
14
Likelihood-based analysis for dynamic factor models
Jungbacker, Borus
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
-
2008
We present new results for the likelihood-based analysis of the dynamic factor model that possibly includes intercepts and explanatory variables. The latent factors are modelled by stochastic processes. The idiosyncratic disturbances are specified as autoregressive processes with mutually...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373811
Saved in:
15
Long memory modelling of inflation with stochastic variance and structural breaks
Bos, Charles S.
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Ooms, Marius
-
2007
We investigate changes in the time series characteristics of postwar U.S. inflation. In a model-based analysis the conditional mean of inflation is specified by a long memory autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average process and the conditional variance is modelled by a stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373822
Saved in:
16
Seasonality with trend and cycle interactions in unobserved components models
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lee, Kai Ming
-
2008
Unobserved components time series models decompose a time series into a trend, a season, a cycle, an irregular disturbance, and possibly other components. These models have been successfully applied to many economic time series. The standard assumption of a linear model, often appropriate after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374413
Saved in:
17
The effect of the great moderation on the US business cycle in a time-varying multivariate trend-cycle model
Creal, Drew
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Zivot, Eric
-
2008
In this paper we investigate whether the dynamic properties of the U.S. business cycle have changed in the last fifty years. For this purpose we develop a flexible business cycle indicator that is constructed from a moderate set of macroeconomic time series. The coincident economic indicator is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376640
Saved in:
18
Dynamic factor analysis in the presence of missing data
Jungbacker, Borus
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Wel, Michel van der
-
2011
This paper concerns estimating parameters in a high-dimensional dynamic factormodel by the method of maximum likelihood. To accommodate missing data in theanalysis, we propose a new model representation for the dynamic factor model. Itallows the Kalman filter and related smoothing methods to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377572
Saved in:
19
Macro, industry and frailty effects in defaults : the 2008 credit crisis in perspective
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
;
Schwaab, Bernd
-
2010
We determine the magnitude and nature of systematic default risk using 1971{2009) default data from Moody's. We disentangle systematic risk factors due to business cycle effects, common default dynamics (frailty), and industry-specific dynamics (including contagion). To quantify the contribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379607
Saved in:
20
Systemic risk diagnostics
Schwaab, Bernd
;
Lucas, André
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
-
2010
, and the rest of the
world
. Controlling for global,region-specific, and industry effects, we construct coincident measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382067
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