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Statistics Netherlands uses a state space model to estimate the Dutch unemployment by using monthly series about the … more realistic real-time unemployment estimates. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012434085
, the model is applied to postwar monthly US unemployment series and we discover a significantly periodic cycle. Furthermore …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011350384
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003408447
unemployment, as well as to forecast the number of students across the many different types of education. By clustering the factor … exhibit similarities in their relationship with macroeconomic cycles. Since unemployment data is available for a longer time …-driven model which filters the conditional expectation of the unemployment rate. Second, we consider a multivariate regression …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012315409
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000961559
A major aim of recent empirical modelling of the business cycle isto identify the relative importance of aggregate supply and demandshocks. Supply or technology shocks are associated with permanent(structural) effects on economic activity whereas demand shocks arerelated to temporary (cyclical)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010336862