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The time-varying volatility of earnings and aggregate precautionary savings
Pozzi, Lorenzo - 2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720736
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Cyclical consumption
Berger, Tino; Pozzi, Lorenzo - 2023
Recessions and expansions are often caused or reinforced by developments in private consumption - the largest component of aggregate demand - which, as a result, varies over the business cycle. As such, an accurate measurement of the cyclical component of consumption and an understanding of its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014380708
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Common risk factors in equity markets
Atanasov, Victoria - 2014 - This version: May 26, 2014
Empirical measures of world consumption growth risk have failed to rationalize the cross-section of country equity … returns. We propose a new factor, termed "the global consumption factor", to explain the patterns in risk premiums on … from 47 developed and emerging market countries over a four-decade period. Our risk factor reflects changes in the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010362976
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The effect of the great moderation on the US business cycle in a time-varying multivariate trend-cycle model
Creal, Drew; Koopman, Siem Jan; Zivot, Eric - 2008
In this paper we investigate whether the dynamic properties of the U.S. business cycle have changed in the last fifty years. For this purpose we develop a flexible business cycle indicator that is constructed from a moderate set of macroeconomic time series. The coincident economic indicator is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376640
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Leverage and feedback effects on multifactor wishart stochastic volatility for option pricing
Asai, Manabu; McAleer, Michael - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724148
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Does risk seeking drive asset prices? : A stochastic dominance analysis of aggregate investor preferences
Post, Thierry; Levy, Haim - 2002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001689309
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The stochastic volatility on mean model : empirical evidence from international stock markets
Koopman, Siem Jan; Uspensky, Eugenie Hol - 2000
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001472890
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On the hypothesis of psychological barriers in stock markets and Benford's Law : an application to the Dow Jones industrial average
De Ceuster, Marc J.; Dhaene, Geert; Schatteman, Tom - 1995
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000921077
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Computationally attractive stability tests for the efficient method of moments
Sluis, Pieter J. van der - 1997
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000968763
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Unobserved components with stochastic volatility in U.S. inflation : estimation and signal extraction
Li, Mengheng; Koopman, Siem Jan - 2018
We consider unobserved components time series models where the components are stochastically evolving over time and are subject to stochastic volatility. It enables the disentanglement of dynamic structures in both the mean and the variance of the observed time series. We develop a simulated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011809984