We adopt an unobserved components time series model to extract financial cycles for the United States and the five largest euro area countries over the period 1970 to 2014. We find that credit, the credit-to-GDP ratio and house prices have medium-term cycles which share a few common statistical...

We develop a panel data model with stochastic dynamic processes to empirically verify the possible existence of the European crime drop. This time-varying effect can be captured by the stochastic trend and can be interpreted as the "potential" European crime drop. Due to the flexibility of our...

This paper focuses on the relation between the onset of disability and employment outcomes. We develop an event history model that includes unscheduled hospitalizations as a measure for unanticipated health shocks and estimate the model on data from the British National Child Development Study...