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We adopt an unobserved components time series model to extract financial cycles for the United States and the five largest euro area countries over the period 1970 to 2014. We find that credit, the credit-to-GDP ratio and house prices have medium-term cycles which share a few common statistical...
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We analyze the illicit drug usage by inhabitants and visitors of European cities. Our statistical analyses are by means of linear mixed models. The data on illicit drug usage of cocaine, ecstasy, amphetamines, methamphetamines, and cannabis are collected through wastewater samples from the inlet...
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We develop a panel data model with stochastic dynamic processes to empirically verify the possible existence of the European crime drop. This time-varying effect can be captured by the stochastic trend and can be interpreted as the "potential" European crime drop. Due to the flexibility of our...
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