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How informative are the unpredictable components of earnings forecasts?
Bruijn, Bert de; Franses, Philip Hans - 2015
An analysis of about 300000 earnings forecasts, created by 18000 individual forecasters for earnings of over 300 S&P listed firms, shows that these forecasts are predictable to a large extent using a statistical model that includes publicly available information. When we focus on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490078
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Bubbles, crashes and information contagion in large-group asset market experiments
Hommes, Cars H.; Kopányi-Peuker, Anita; Sonnemans, Joep - 2019
We experimentally investigate how price expectations are formed in a large asset market where subjects' only task is to forecast the future price of a risky asset. The realized prices depend on these expectations. We observe small (6 participants) and large markets (about 100 participants). In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979625
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Explaining hedge fund investment styles by loss aversion: a rational alternative
Siegmann, Arjen; Lucas, André - 2002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001689199
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Forecasting earnings forecasts
Bruijn, Bert de; Franses, Philip Hans - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191299
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Booms, busts and behavioural heterogeneity in stock prices
Hommes, Cars H.; Veld, Daan in't - 2015 - This draft: July 2015
We empirically evaluate a behavioural model with boundedly rational traders who disagree about the persistence of deviations from the fundamental stock price. Fundamentalist traders believe in mean-reversion, while chartists extrapolate trends. Agents gradually switch between the two rules,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301214
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Do financial advisors exploit responsible investment preferences?
Laudi, Marten; Smeets, Paul; Weitzel, Utz - 2021
An unprecedented number of investors are giving their financial advisors a mandate for socially responsible investing (SRI). Yet, the impact of SRI mandates on consumers is unclear. In a pre-registered lab-in-the-field experiment with 345 professional advisors, we find that advisors charge a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012591238
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Behavioral heterogeneity in stock prices
Boswijk, Herman Peter; Hommes, Cars H.; Manzan, Sebastiano - 2005
We estimate a dynamic asset pricing model characterized by heterogeneous boundedly rational agents. The fundamental value of the risky asset is publicly available to all agents, but they have different beliefs about the persistence of deviations of stock prices from the fundamental benchmark. An...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343265
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Stock selection, style rotation, and risk
Lucas, André; Dijk, Ronald van; Kloek, Teunis - 2001 - This version: February 12, 2001
particular, we allow for a state-dependent choice of investment styles rather than aonce-and-for-all choice for a particular …, we find significant and robustexcess returns to style rotating investment strategies. Business cycle oriented approaches … exhibitthe best overall performance. Purely statistical models for style rotation or fixed investment stylesreveal less robust …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011316893
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Does risk seeking drive asset prices? : A stochastic dominance analysis of aggregate investor preferences
Post, Thierry; Levy, Haim - 2002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001689309
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Experience does not eliminate bubbles : experimental evidence
Kopányi-Peuker, Anita; Weber, Matthias - 2018
We study the role of experience in the formation of asset price bubbles. Therefore, we conduct two related experiments. One is a call market experiment in which participants trade assets with each other. The other is a learning-to-forecast experiment in which participants only forecast future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932581