Showing 61 - 70 of 2,703
annual US stock price data from 1871 until 2003. The estimation results support the existence of two expectation regimes. One …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343265
spatial structure that is required for the estimation of spatial models improves the forecasting performance of non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343272
the main accent still lies on the development of theory. The novelty of this paper is that we empirically estimate the two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346466
To gain insights in the current status of the economy, macroeconomic time series are often decomposed into trend, cycle and irregular components. This can be done by nonparametric band-pass filtering methods in the frequency domain or by model-based decompositions based on autoregressive moving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346480
This paper presents results of a meta-regression analysis on empirical estimates of capital-energy substitution. Theoretically it is clear that a distinction should be made between Morishima substitution elasticities and cross-price elasticities. The former represent purely technical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349193
exchange rates for currency risk management. Ourapproach is Bayesianwhere extensive use is made of Markov chain Monte Carlo … returns maylead to improved hedge behaviour within currency overlay management. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313921
The failure to describe the time series behaviour of most realexchange rates as temporary deviations from fixedlong-term means may be due to time variation of the equilibriathemselves, see Engel (2000). We implement thisidea using an unobserved components model and decompose theobservations on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011318578
This paper utilizes a very simple model to study the timing and determinants of speculationagainst a fixed exchange rate regime when investors are heterogeneous because of locationaldifferences. Location matters because resident players may incur smaller costs when takinga short-position, are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326412
In this paper, we study the short-run and long-run comovement between prices and real activity in the G7 countries during the postwar period using vector autoregressive systems and frequency-domain filters. We find several patterns that are robust across countries and time periods. Typically,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327530
This paper proposes a new approach to identify the wage effects of training.The idea is to narrow down the comparison group by only taking into consideration theworkers who wanted to participate in training but did not do so because of some randomevent. The point estimate of the return to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327531