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A hybrid joint moment ratio test for financial time series
Groenendijk, Patrick A.; Lucas, André; Vries, Casper G. de - 1998
We advocate the use of absolute moment ratio statistics in conjunctionwith standard variance ratio statistics in order to disentangle lineardependence, non-linear dependence, and leptokurtosis in financial timeseries. Both statistics are computed for multiple return horizonssimultaneously, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299968
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Price discovery on foreign exchange markets with differentially informed traders
Jong, Frank de; Mahieu, Ronald J.; Schotman, Peter C.; … - 1999
This paper uses Reuters exchange rate data to investigate thecontributions to the price discovery process by individual banks in theforeign exchange market. We propose multivariate time series models aswell as models in tick time to study the dynamic relations between thequotes of individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301161
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Price discovery on foreign exchange markets with differentially informed traders
Jong, Frank de (contributor) - 1999
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001375037
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Model-free measurement of exchange market pressure
Klaassen, Franc; Jager, Henk - 2006
If there is exchange market pressure (EMP), monetary authorities can use the interest rate and official interventions to offset this depreciation tendency, or they can let the exchange rate change. We introduce a new approach to derive how these three variables should be combined to measure EMP....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011350376
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Behavioral heterogeneity in stock prices
Boswijk, Herman Peter; Hommes, Cars H.; Manzan, Sebastiano - 2005
annual US stock price data from 1871 until 2003. The estimation results support the existence of two expectation regimes. One …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343265
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Are entrepreneurs' forecasts of economic indicators biased? : A case study of predicted and realized investments in the Netherlands
Gorter, Cees (contributor) - 1997
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000972453
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Consumption choices and earnings expectations : empirical evidence and structural estimation
Stoltenberg, Christian; Uhlendorff, Arne - 2023
In this paper, we document that households' consumption expenditures crucially depend on their expected earnings - even after controlling for realized earnings, wealth and time-invariant unobserved characteristics such as permanent income and over-confidence. To explain this evidence, we develop...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014249642
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Consumption choices and earnings expectations : empirical evidence and structural estimation
Stoltenberg, Christian; Uhlendorff, Arne - 2022
In this paper, we document that households' consumption expenditures depend on their expected earnings - even after controlling for realized earnings and wealth. To explain this evidence, we develop and structurally estimate a standard-incomplete markets model in which rational households...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013332707
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Asymmetries in conditional mean and variance : modelling stock returns by asMA-asQGARCH
Brännäs, Kurt; Gooijer, Jan G. de - 2000
The asymmetric moving average model (asMA) is extended to allow forasymmetric quadratic conditional heteroskedasticity (asQGARCH). Theasymmetric parametrization of the conditional variance encompassesthe quadratic GARCH model of Sentana (1995). We introduce a framework fortesting asymmetries in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011303289
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A Bayesian analysis of unobserved component models using Ox
Bos, Charles S. - 2011
Estimation of the volatility of time series has taken off since the introduction of the GARCH and stochastic volatility … unobserved stochastic volatility, and the varying approaches that have been taken for such estimation.In order to simplify the … comprehension of these estimation methods, the main methods for estimating stochastic volatility are discussed, with focus on their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386121