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Bubble formation and (in)efficient markets in learning-to-forecast and -optimise experiments
Te, Bao; Hommes, Cars H.; Makarewicz, Tomasz - 2015
This experiment compares the price dynamics and bubble formation in an asset market with a price adjustment rule in three treatments where subjects (1) submit a price forecast only, (2) choose quantity to buy/sell and (3) perform both tasks. We find deviation of the market price from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333057
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Financial markets as nonlinear adaptive evolutionary systems
Hommes, Cars H. - 2001
Recent work on complex adaptive systems for modeling financialmarkets is surveyed. Financia1 markets areviewed as evolutionary systems between different, competing tradingstrategies. Agents are boundedly rational inthe sense that they tend to follow strategies that have performedwell, according...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313923
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Financial markets as nonlinear adaptive evolutionary systems
Hommes, Cars H. - 2000
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001554477
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Washington meets Wall Street : a closer examination of the presidential cycle puzzle
Kräussl, Roman; Lucas, André; Rijsbergen, David; … - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003787145
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Washington meets Wall Street : a closer examination of the presidential cycle puzzle
Kräussl, Roman; Lucas, André; Rijsbergen, D.; Sluis, … - 2009
the presidential cycle election (PCE) theory as an alternative explanation. The PCE theory states that incumbent parties … formulate seven different propositions relating to fiscal, monetary, tax, and political implications of PCE theory. We find no … statistically significant evidence confirming the PCE theory as a plausible explanation for the presidential cycle effect. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377245
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Risk, policy rules, and noise : rethinking deviations from uncovered interest parity
Mark, Nelson C.; Wu, Yangru - 1997
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000959252
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Need for speed? : exchange latency and liquidity
Menkveld, Albert J.; Zoican, Marius A. - 2014
Speeding up the exchange does not necessarily improve liquidity. The price quotes of high-frequency market makers are more likely to meet speculative high-frequency "bandits", thus less likely to meet liquidity traders. The bid-ask spread is raised in response. The recursive dynamic model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010384388
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Risk, policy rules, and noise : rethinking deviations from uncovered interest parity
Mark, Nelson C.; Wu, Yangru - 1996
This paper investigates why the forward premium predicts the future depreciation with the "wrong" sign and why the unobserved deviation from rational uncovered interest parity is negatively correlated with and is more volatile than the rationally expected depreciation. We examine the ability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010336366
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Banking and trading
Boot, Arnoud W. A.; Ratnovski, Lev - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010190997
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The forward premium puzzle only emerges gradually
Bernoth, Kerstin; Hagen, Jürgen von; Vries, Casper G. de - 2007
The forward premium puzzle (FPP) is the negative correlation between the forward premium and the realized exchange rate return at maturities of a month and beyond. Some recent evidence shows that at maturities of multiple years and at the highest intra day frequency the correlation is positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372514