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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003787159
We introduce a statistical test for comparing the predictive accuracy of competing copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts, based on the Kullback-Leibler Information Criterion (KLIC). The test is valid under general conditions: in particular it allows for parameter estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377261
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the Efficient Method of Moments implemented to estimatestochastic volatility models this will surely be the case … method of momentstechnique for a broad range of univariate stochastic volatility models. As a side effect of the … volatility models. It describes the program. Some examples are given from other workof the author. Technicalities are given in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010533201
When analysing the volatility related to high frequency financial data, mostly non-parametric approaches based on … stochastic volatility. Estimation of the model delivers measures of daily variation outperforming their non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374428
This paper considers spot variance path estimation from datasets of intraday high frequency asset prices in the presence of diurnal variance patterns, jumps, leverage effects and microstructure noise. We rely on parametric and nonparametric methods. The estimated spot variance path can be used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379469
A test for serial independence is proposed which is related to the BDS test but focuses on tail event probabilities rather than probabilities near the center of the distribution. The motivation behind this approach is to obtain a test more suitable for detecting structure in the tails, such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327543
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We present a new model to decompose total daily return volatility into a filtered (high-frequency based) open …-to-close volatility and a time-varying scaling factor. We use score-driven dynamics based on fat-tailed distributions to limit the impact …-to-close volatility changes substantially through time, especially for financial stocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012056853
This paper generalises Boswijk and Zu (2018)'s adaptive unit root test for time series with nonstationary volatility to … resulting likelihood ratio test statistic. We find that under suitable conditions, adaptation with respect to the volatility … process is possible, in the sense that nonparametric volatility matrix estimation does not lead to a loss of asymptotic local …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026102