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Recent empirical evidence suggests that value and momentum strategies generate significantexcess returns in emerging markets. We confirm these results and extend them in severaldirections. First, we examine a broader range of stock selection strategies, including strategiesbased on analysts'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313928
Recent research reveals that hedge fund returns exhibit a range of different,possibly non-linear pay-off patterns. It is difficult to qualify all these patternssimultaneously as being rational in a traditional framework for optimal financial decisionmaking. In this paper we present a simple...
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We develop a general framework for measuring biases in expectation formation. The method is based on the insight that biases can be inferred from the response of forecast errors to past news. Empirically, biases are measured by flexibly estimating the impulse response function of forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011869992
expected earnings shock and its volatility, and establish properties of investor behavior on the stock price and its volatility … during financial crises and subsequent recovery. Thereafter, we develop properties to explain excess volatility, short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441491
This paper considers a simple Continuous Beliefs System (CBS) toinvestigate the effects on price dynamics of several behavioralassumptions: (i) herd behaviour; (ii) a-synchronous updating ofbeliefs; and (iii) heterogeneity in time horizons (memory) amongagents. The recently introduced concept of...
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forecasting, the authors propose a new factor multivariate stochastic volatility (fMSV) model for realized covariance measures …
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