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accounts for time variation in macroeconomic volatility, known as the great moderation. In particular, we consider an … volatility processes and mixture distributions for the irregular components and the common cycle disturbances enable us to … that time-varying volatility is only present in the a selection of idiosyncratic components while the coefficients driving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376640
volatility processes. This is called a GSSF-SV model. We show that conventional MCMC algorithms for this type of model are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334849
We investigate high-frequency volatility models for analyzing intra-day tick by tick stock price changes using Bayesian … estimation procedures. Our key interest is the extraction of intra-day volatility patterns from high-frequency integer price … distributions. We allow for stochastic volatility by modeling the variance as a stochastic function of time, with intra-day periodic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456723
the Efficient Method of Moments implemented to estimatestochastic volatility models this will surely be the case … method of momentstechnique for a broad range of univariate stochastic volatility models. As a side effect of the … volatility models. It describes the program. Some examples are given from other workof the author. Technicalities are given in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010533201
This paper considers spot variance path estimation from datasets of intraday high frequency asset prices in the presence of diurnal variance patterns, jumps, leverage effects and microstructure noise. We rely on parametric and nonparametric methods. The estimated spot variance path can be used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379469
In this paper we aim to measure actual volatility within a model-based framework using high-frequency data. In the … at smaller and smaller time intervals. High-frequency returns are used for the computation of realised volatility. Recent … theoretical results have shown that realised volatility is a consistent estimator of actual volatility but when it is subject to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011342558
Novel periodic extensions of dynamic long memory regression models with autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic errors are considered for the analysis of daily electricity spot prices. The parameters of the model with mean and variance specifications are estimated simultaneously by the method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346471
We introduce a new fractionally integrated model for covariance matrix dynamics based on the long-memory behavior of daily realized covariance matrix kernels and daily return observations. We account for fat tails in both types of data by appropriate distributional assumptions. The covariance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011531139
volatility) associated with financial returns, was the portmanteau statistic for non-causality in variance of Cheng and Ng (1996 … the paper is to derive a simple test for causality in volatility that provides regularity conditions arising from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011556246
Estimation of the volatility of time series has taken off since the introduction of the GARCH and stochastic volatility … models. While variants of the GARCH model are applied in scores of articles, use of the stochastic volatility model is less … unobserved stochastic volatility, and the varying approaches that have been taken for such estimation. In order to simplify the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386124