Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 2,572
Cover Image
Profiteering from the dot-com bubble, sub-prime crisis and Asian financial crisis
McAleer, Michael; Suen, John; Wong, Wing Keung - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767005
Cover Image
A Bayesian approach to excess volatility, short-term underreaction and long-term overreaction during financial crises
Guo, Xu; McAleer, Michael; Wong, Wing Keung; Zhu, Lixing - 2016
expected earnings shock and its volatility, and establish properties of investor behavior on the stock price and its volatility … during financial crises and subsequent recovery. Thereafter, we develop properties to explain excess volatility, short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441491
Cover Image
What option prices tell us about the ECB's unconventional monetary policies
Olijslagers, Stan; Petersen, Annelie; Vette, Nander de; … - 2018
We use a series of different approaches to extract information about crash risk from option prices for the Euro-Dollar exchange rate, with each step sharpening the focus on extracting more specific measures of crash risk around dates of ECB measures of Unconventional Monetary Policy. Several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940034
Cover Image
Booms, busts and behavioural heterogeneity in stock prices
Hommes, Cars H.; Veld, Daan in't - 2015 - This draft: July 2015
We empirically evaluate a behavioural model with boundedly rational traders who disagree about the persistence of deviations from the fundamental stock price. Fundamentalist traders believe in mean-reversion, while chartists extrapolate trends. Agents gradually switch between the two rules,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301214
Cover Image
The stochastic volatility in mean model
Koopman, Siem Jan; Hol Uspensky, Eugenie - 2000
In this paper we present an exact maximum likelihood treatment forthe estimation of a Stochastic Volatility in Mean …(SVM) model based on Monte Carlo simulation methods. The SVM modelincorporates the unobserved volatility as anexplanatory variable … Stochastic Volatility (SV)model. However, efficient Monte Carlo simulationmethods for SV models have been developed to overcome …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011303314
Cover Image
Detecting serial dependence in tail events
Diks, Cees G. H. - 2002
A test for serial independence is proposed which is related to the BDS test but focuses on tail event probabilities rather than probabilities near the center of the distribution. The motivation behind this approach is to obtain a test more suitable for detecting structure in the tails, such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327543
Cover Image
Computationally attractive stability tests for the efficient method of moments
Sluis, Pieter J. van der - 1997
volatility model for theS&P500. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339446
Cover Image
Bayesian dynamic modeling of high-frequency integer price changes
Barra, Istvan; Koopman, Siem Jan - 2016
We investigate high-frequency volatility models for analyzing intra-day tick by tick stock price changes using Bayesian … estimation procedures. Our key interest is the extraction of intra-day volatility patterns from high-frequency integer price … distributions. We allow for stochastic volatility by modeling the variance as a stochastic function of time, with intra-day periodic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456723
Cover Image
Realized Wishart-GARCH : a score-driven multi-Asset volatility model
Hansen, Peter Reinhard; Janus, Paweł; Koopman, Siem Jan - 2016
We propose a novel multivariate GARCH model that incorporates realized measures for the variance matrix of returns. The key novelty is the joint formulation of a multivariate dynamic model for outer-products of returns, realized variances and realized covariances. The updating of the variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520881
Cover Image
High frequency trading and the new-market makers
Menkveld, Albert J. - 2011 - This version: August 15, 2011
This paper links the recent fragmentation in equity trading to high frequency traders (HFTs). It shows how the success of a new market, Chi-X, critically depended on the participation of a large HFT who acts as a modern market-maker. The HFT, in turn, benefits from low fees in the entrant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386460