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We propose information theoretic tests for serial independence and linearity in time series. The test statisticsare based on the conditional mutual information, a general measure of dependence between lagged variables. In caseof rejecting the null hypothesis, this readily provides insights into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011317443
A test for serial independence is proposed which is related to the BDS test but focuses on tail event probabilities rather than probabilities near the center of the distribution. The motivation behind this approach is to obtain a test more suitable for detecting structure in the tails, such as...
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All parameters in structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models are locally identified when the structural shocks are independent and follow non-Gaussian distributions. Unfortunately, standard inference methods that exploit such features of the data for identification fail to yield correct...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013417421
expansion periods.Since a linear combination of such series does not have to be a constant meanprocess, standard cointegration … there exist a cointegration relation between US percapita disposable income and consumption, after correction for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301165
This paper features an analysis of the cointegration relationships among agricultural commodity, ethanol and Cushing … cointegration and Markov-switching VECM and Impulse Response Analysis, confirms that these markets have significant linkages which …
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