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Learning, forecasting and optimizing : an experimental study
Te, Bao; Duffy, John; Hommes, Cars H. - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191021
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From self-fulfilling mistakes to behavioral learning equilibria
Hommes, Cars H. - 2017
This essay links some of my own work on expectations, learning and bounded rationality to the inspiring ideas of Jean …-Michel Grandmont. In particular, my work on consistent expectations and behavioral learning equilibria may be seen as formalizations of … JMG's ideas of self-fulfilling mistakes. Some of our learning-to-forecast laboratory experiments with human subjects have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590425
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Estimating structural parameters in regression models with adaptive learning
Christopeit, Norbert; Massmann, Michael - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191331
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Deception and self-deception
Schwardman, Peter; Weele, Joël J. van der - 2016
We experimentally investigate the determinants of overconfidence and test the hypothesis, advanced by Robert Trivers, that overconfidence serves to more effectively persuade or deceive others. After performing a cognitively challenging task, half of our subjects are informed about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441641
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Measuring responsiveness to feedback as a personal trait
Buser, Thomas; Gerhards, Leonie; Weele, Joël J. van der - 2016
People typically update their beliefs about their own abilities too little in response to feed-back, a phenomenon known as "conservatism", and some studies suggest that they overweight good relative to bad signals ("asymmetry"). We measure individual conservatism and asymmetry in three tasks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011483816
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Bubbles, crashes and information contagion in large-group asset market experiments
Hommes, Cars H.; Kopányi-Peuker, Anita; Sonnemans, Joep - 2019
We experimentally investigate how price expectations are formed in a large asset market where subjects' only task is to forecast the future price of a risky asset. The realized prices depend on these expectations. We observe small (6 participants) and large markets (about 100 participants). In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979625
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Anticipatory anxiety and wishful thinking
Engelmann, Jan; Lebreton, Maël; Schwardmann, Peter; … - 2019
It is widely hypothesized that anxiety and worry about an uncertain future lead to the adoption of comforting beliefs or "wishful thinking". However, there is little direct causal evidence for this effect. In our experiment, participants perform a visual pattern recog- nition task where some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026094
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Shooting the messenger? : supply and demand in markets for willful ignorance
Shalvi, Shaul; Soraperra, Ivan; Weele, Joël J. van der; … - 2019
We investigate the role of advisers in the transmission of ethically relevant information, a critical aspect of executive decision making in organizations. In our laboratory experiment, advisers are informed about the negative externalities associated with the decision-maker's choices and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012105231
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Bubble formation and (in)efficient markets in learning-to-forecast and -optimise experiments
Te, Bao; Hommes, Cars H.; Makarewicz, Tomasz - 2015
This experiment compares the price dynamics and bubble formation in an asset market with a price adjustment rule in three treatments where subjects (1) submit a price forecast only, (2) choose quantity to buy/sell and (3) perform both tasks. We find deviation of the market price from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333057
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Decision and strategies in a sequential search experiment
Sonnemans, Joep - 1997
The strategy method is becoming an important tool in experimentalmethodology. This study examines how well this method works in anindividual decision experiment. Subjects are faced with a sequentialsearch problem. After extensive practice solving the problem andformulating strategies, they play...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283474