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the underlying statistical distributions, a variety of analyticalmethods and simulation-based methods are available. Aside … orhistorical and Monte Carlo simulation methods. Although these approaches to overall VaR estimation have receivedsubstantial … and incremental VaR in either a non-normal analytical setting or a MonteCarlo / historical simulation context.This paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301159
Total Factor Productivity (TFP)is often used on the macro-economic level as an indicator of changes in efficiency of a country. In many transition economies TFP is seen to have been negative the last decade of the plan economy and starts increasing and become positive after a (quite a) few years...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346474
We investigate changes in the time series characteristics of postwar U.S. inflation. In a model-based analysis the conditional mean of inflation is specified by a long memory autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average process and the conditional variance is modelled by a stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373822
Highly non-elliptical posterior distributions may occur in several econometric models, in particular, when the … indirect sampling methods in these models, one has to find a good candidate density. In a recent paper - Hoogerheide, Kaashoek … sophisticated neural network simulation techniques is explored. In all examples considered in this paper – a bimodal distribution of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374406
Likelihood based inference for multi-state latent factor intensity models is hindered by the fact that exact closed … dynamic econometric models. This paper reviews, adapts and compares three different approaches for solving this problem. For …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374420
Adaptive Polar Sampling (APS) is proposed as a Markov chain Monte Carlomethod for Bayesian analysis of models with ill … the location and scale.Tested on a set of canonical models that feature nearnon-identifiability, strong correlation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011302625
In non-experimental sciences the errors associated with model misspecifications in primarystudies carry over to meta-analysis. We use Monte Carlo simulations to analyse the effects ofthese misspecifications on results of a meta-analysis using a meta-estimator that calculates asimple average...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343283
We consider likelihood inference and state estimation by means of importance sampling for state space models with a … and smoother and the simulation smoother which do not rely on a linear Gaussian observation equation. Furthermore, results … are presented that lead to a more effective implementation of importance sampling for state space models. An illustration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348357
their performance in simulation experiments. This leads to a list of eight methodologic aspirations. Against their … background we criticize aspects of many simulation studies that have been used in the past to compare competing estimators for … dynamic panel data models. To illustrate particular pitfalls some further Monte Carlo results are produced, obtained from a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348362
The linear Gaussian state space model for which the common variance istreated as a stochastic time-varying variable is considered for themodelling of economic time series. The focus of this paper is on thesimultaneous estimation of parameters related to the stochasticprocesses of the mean part...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327834