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exogenous uncertainty, which can be analyzed with decision theory. It employs traditional economics as a nor! mative benchmark …-making to be a problem of strategic interaction, in which the uncertainty is endogenous. Its main tool is game theory. It …
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The origin of prospect theory is the desire to test the intuitive statistician in the real world. The development of … this theory by the cognitive psychologists Kahneman and Tversky can be traced to the former's work in cognitive … psychophysics, in which deviations from average behavior are termed (statistical) errors; and the latter's work on decision theory …
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Biases theory of Kahneman and Tversky. It is proposed that Gigerenzer's work can be both thematically and chronologically …
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We use a series of different approaches to extract information about crash risk from option prices for the Euro-Dollar exchange rate, with each step sharpening the focus on extracting more specific measures of crash risk around dates of ECB measures of Unconventional Monetary Policy. Several...
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