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Locally explosive behavior is observed in many economic and financial time series when bubbles are formed. We introduce … be used to predict the emergence, existence and burst of bubbles. We adopt a flexible observation driven model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011928329
identify temporary house price bubbles, amplified by trend extrapolation, and crashes reinforced by fundamentalists. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465137
We empirically evaluate a behavioural model with boundedly rational traders who disagree about the persistence of deviations from the fundamental stock price. Fundamentalist traders believe in mean-reversion, while chartists extrapolate trends. Agents gradually switch between the two rules,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301214
, recurring bubbles arise, where the price is 3 times larger than the fundamental value, which were not seen in former experiments. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333057
We estimate a dynamic asset pricing model characterized by heterogeneous boundedly rational agents. The fundamental value of the risky asset is publicly available to all agents, but they have different beliefs about the persistence of deviations of stock prices from the fundamental benchmark. An...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343265
It is well known that rational bubbles can be sustained in balanced growth path of a deterministic economy when the … return to capital r is equal to the growth rate g. When there is a lack of stores of value, bubbles can implement an … capital. Then, bubbles further efficiency, though they cannot implement first best. While bubbles can only be sustained when r …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011540632
". We observe both stable markets and large bubbles for both small and large markets. The data analysis shows no differences … successfully drives prices back towards the fundamental, but we observe very large bubbles in which the news apparently has no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979625
This paper investigates how cryptocurrencies relate to concepts such as bubbles, Ponzi-schemes and digital gold in a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014634056
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000151692
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