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Bubbles, crashes and information contagion in large-group asset market experiments
Hommes, Cars H.; Kopányi-Peuker, Anita; Sonnemans, Joep - 2019
". We observe both stable markets and large bubbles for both small and large markets. The data analysis shows no differences … successfully drives prices back towards the fundamental, but we observe very large bubbles in which the news apparently has no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979625
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Money supply and the implementation of interest rate targets
Schabert, Andreas - 2005
In this paper, we analyze the relation between interest rate targets and money supply in a (bubble-free) rational expectations equilibrium of a standard cash-in-advance model. We examine lump-sum injections of money aimed to implement interest rate sequences that satisfy interest rate target...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343954
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Quantitative easing and exuberance in government bond markets : evidence from the ECB's Expanded Assets Purchase Program
Droes, Martijn; Lamoen, Ryan C. R. van; Mattheussens, Simona - 2017 - This version: 25 August 2017
This paper examines whether the ECB's Quantitative Easing (QE) policy is causing government bond prices to deviate from their fundamental value. We use a recent advance in the methodology to measure exuberant price behavior in financial time series introduced by Phillips et al. (2015). We extend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715916
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Experience does not eliminate bubbles : experimental evidence
Kopányi-Peuker, Anita; Weber, Matthias - 2018
We study the role of experience in the formation of asset price bubbles. Therefore, we conduct two related experiments … participants receive. Each market is repeated three times. In both experiments and in all treatments, we observe sizable bubbles …. These bubbles do not disappear with experience. Our findings in the call market experiment stand in contrast to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932581
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Profiteering from the dot-com bubble, sub-prime crisis and Asian financial crisis
McAleer, Michael; Suen, John; Wong, Wing Keung - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767005
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Visualizing the invisible : estimating the New Keynesian output gap via a Bayesian approach
Willems, Tim - 2010
As both the natural level of output and the New Keynesian output gap cannot be observed in practice, there is quite some debate on the question how these variables look like in practice. Rather than taking the standard approach of using a time trend or the HP-filter to obtain estimates of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378920
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Government spending shocks, sovereign risk and the exchange rate regime
Bonam, Dennis; Lukkezen, Jasper - 2013
Conventional wisdom teaches that the output response upon a fiscal expansion is higher under fixed than floating exchange rates for a small open economy. We analyse the effects of fiscal expansions using a New Keynesian model and find that this result reverses in times of sovereign default risk....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010227296
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Monetary policy under a fiscal theory of sovereign default
Schabert, Andreas - 2009
This paper examines equilibrium determination under different monetary policy regimes when the government might default on its debt. We apply a cash-in-advance model where the government does not have access to non-distortionary taxation and does not account for initial outstanding debt when it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379355
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Monetary policy in the presence of random wage indexation
Attey, Jonathan A.; Vries, Casper G. de - 2016
Empirical estimations suggest heavy-tailed unconditional distributions for inflation, the output gap and the interest rate. However, standard NK models used in policy analysis imply normal distributions for these variables. In this study, we propose a model which replicates the above mentioned...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011556191
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Behavioral heterogeneity in US inflation dynamics
Cornea, Adriana; Hommes, Cars H.; Massaro, Domenico - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191432