Showing 1 - 10 of 499
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009722706
We adopt an unobserved components time series model to extract financial cycles for the United States and the five largest euro area countries over the period 1970 to 2014. We find that credit, the credit-to-GDP ratio and house prices have medium-term cycles which share a few common statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456728
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003851230
We revisit Wintenberger (2013) on the continuous invertibility of the EGARCH(1,1) model. We note that the definition of continuous invertibility adopted in Wintenberger (2013) may not always be sufficient to deliver strong consistency of the QMLE. We also take the opportunity to provide other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011401308
We propose a new approach to the modelling of the term structure of interest rates. We consider the general dynamic factor model and show how to impose smoothness restrictions on the factor loadings. We further present a statistical procedure based on Wald tests that can be used to find a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378359
We propose a new methodology for designing flexible proposal densities for the joint posterior density of parameters and states in a nonlinear non-Gaussian state space model. We show that a highly efficient Bayesian procedure emerges when these proposal densities are used in an independent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010399681
Estimation of the volatility of time series has taken off since the introduction of the GARCH and stochastic volatility … unobserved stochastic volatility, and the varying approaches that have been taken for such estimation. In order to simplify the … comprehension of these estimation methods, the main methods for estimating stochastic volatility are discussed, with focus on their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386124
data allowus to perform parametric non-1inear estimation of Lorenz curves from grouped data.This in turn al1ows us to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346482
We consider cointegration rank estimation for a p-dimensional Fractional Vector Error Correction Model. We propose a …-r, and on the interval of the orders of fractional cointegration b allowed in the estimation, but not on the order of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010244531
that the distribution of water demand is not unimodal and that data are clustered aroundkinks. Main estimation results are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338459