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Whether fiscal policy is sustainable depends on a government's future revenue and expenditure streams, both of which are highly uncertain. In commodity-rich countries, this problem is intensified by unpredictable and volatile commodity prices. We show how spending rules for oil income and...
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volatility of carbon emissions, it is not surprising that crude oil and coal have recently become a very important research topic … causality and volatility spillovers in spot and futures prices of carbon emissions, crude oil, and coal. A likelihood ratio test … is developed to test the multivariate conditional volatility Diagonal BEKK model, which has valid regularity conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011658757
The asymmetric moving average model (asMA) is extended to allow forasymmetric quadratic conditional heteroskedasticity (asQGARCH). Theasymmetric parametrization of the conditional variance encompassesthe quadratic GARCH model of Sentana (1995). We introduce a framework fortesting asymmetries in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011303289
-study suggests a connectionbetween the succes or failure of technical trading and the relative magnitudesof trend and volatility of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313922
time as a shortage in production volume cannot be compensated with supply from inventories. However, if the installed power …
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This paper evaluates the strength of social and economic forces that affect the pressure to emigrate 'out of Africa' for four distinctly different African countries (Morocco, Egypt, Senegal and Ghana). In general, great expectations about attaining a higher living standard and expected low job...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333875