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We develop a multivariate unobserved components model to extract business cycle and financial cycle indicators from a panel of economic and financial time series of four large developed economies. Our model is flexible and allows for the inclusion of cycle components in different selections of...
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We introduce a dynamic network model with probabilistic link functions that depend on stochastically time-varying parameters. We adopt the widely used blockmodel framework and allow the high-dimensional vector of link probabilities to be a function of a low-dimensional set of dynamic factors....
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, namely North Sea, USA, Middle East, and South-East Asia. Associated with these regions are two major financial centers …, namely UK and USA. For these reasons, the data to be used are the returns on alternative crude oil markets, returns on crude … oil derivatives, specifically futures, and stock index returns in UK and USA. The paper will also analyze the Chinese …
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Whether Federal Reserve Bank presidents have the right to vote on the U.S. monetary policy committee depends on a mechanical, yearly rotation scheme. Rotation is without exclusion: also nonvoting presidents attend and participate in the meetings of the committee. Does voting status change...
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