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) and the subsequent European Sovereign Debt Crisis (ESDC). The spillover index captures the transmission of volatility to …This paper applies two measures to assess spillovers across markets: the Diebold Yilmaz (2012) Spillover Index and the … Hafner and Herwartz (2006) analysis of multivariate GARCH models using volatility impulse response analysis. We use two sets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011556166
We propose a novel multivariate GARCH model that incorporates realized measures for the variance matrix of returns. The key novelty is the joint formulation of a multivariate dynamic model for outer-products of returns, realized variances and realized covariances. The updating of the variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520881
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720703
We propose a new class of observation-driven time-varying parameter models for dynamic volatilities and correlations to handle time series from heavy-tailed distributions. The model adopts generalized autoregressive score dynamics to obtain a time-varying covariance matrix of the multivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380135
The paper develops a novel realized matrix-exponential stochastic volatility model of multivariate returns and realized … tests for leverage and spillover effects in the covariance dynamics. Efficient importance sampling is used to maximize the …. The volatility and co-volatility spillovers are examined via the news impact curves and the impulse response functions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011536626
most important factor in reducing portfolio variance is the use of a flexible model for time varying volatility, rather … good on the present set of measures as the stochastic volatility models, with or without dynamic correlation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372522
using volatility impulse response analysis. The data set features ten years of daily returns series for the New York Stock … independent shocks on volatility through time, while avoiding typical orthogonalization and ordering problems. Volatility impulse … response functions (VIRF) provide information about the impact of independent shocks on volatility. HHś VIRF extends a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301206
dynamics adapts to the non-normal nature of financial data, which helps to robustify the volatility estimates. The new model … volatility forecasting of stock returns and exchange rates. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010384110
The asymmetric moving average model (asMA) is extended to allow forasymmetric quadratic conditional heteroskedasticity (asQGARCH). Theasymmetric parametrization of the conditional variance encompassesthe quadratic GARCH model of Sentana (1995). We introduce a framework fortesting asymmetries in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011303289
This paper documents the existence of large structural breaks in the unconditional correlations among the British pound, Norwegian krone, Swedish krona, Swiss franc, and euro exchange rates (against the US dollar) during the period 1994-2003. Using the framework of dynamic conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343243